For the Invg the probability of an eruption of the Campi Flegrei is "relatively low but the volcano will erupt again"

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How long and how much longer will we have to stay calm? Seismic activity and bradyseism in the Phlegraean Fields have accelerated in recent weeks.

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And this is causing alarm and apprehension among the population who continue to ask for interventions in terms of civil protection and therefore evacuation plans.

“Currently the probability of a volcanic eruption is relatively low, precisely because there is no evidence of magma rising towards the surface.”

“However, the volcano has its own unstoppable natural evolution and, sooner or later, it will erupt again.”

The Director of the Vesuvius Observatory of the INGV takes stock of the recent events in the Caldera Flegrea, the volcanic area located northwest of the city of Naples Mauro Di Vito, the Director of the INGV Volcanoes Department Frances White and the President of INGV Carlo Doglioni on the institutional website.

The INGV-OV, therefore, ensures maximum commitment in the collection, study and interpretation of data and “any variation is and will always be discussed and communicated promptly to the Civil Protection bodies at its various levels”.

The crustal volume raised at the moment, explains the INGV, is equal to dimensions much smaller than one km3, “constraining the size of the fluids in the lift supply area.”

“Seismic and geochemical data, ground deformations, surface and borehole thermal variations, and gravimetric variations do not currently provide any indication that magma is rising toward the surface.”

In short

How long and how long will we have to stay calm?

  • Seismic activity and bradyseism in the Phlegraean Fields have accelerated in recent weeks.
  • And this is causing alarm and concern among the population who continue to ask for civil protection interventions and…
  • "Currently the probability of a volcanic eruption is relatively low, precisely because there is no evidence of magma rising…

Key questions

What is the main point of the news?

How long and how long will we have to stay calm?

Why is this news relevant?

Seismic activity and bradyseism in the Phlegraean Fields have accelerated in recent weeks.

Which detail helps us understand the case better?

And this is causing alarm and concern among the population who continue to ask for civil protection interventions and therefore for emergency plans…

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