UPDATE : 4 December 2025 - 05:45
10.5 C
Napoli
UPDATE : 4 December 2025 - 05:45
10.5 C
Napoli

Regional elections, YouTrend data: wide field narrowly ahead (49,7%), centre-right at 46.8%

The autumn regional elections reveal a complex picture of the country, beyond the apparent numbers.
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The results of the autumn regional elections paint a less linear picture of the country than the superficial figures suggest. YouTrend's analysis, which considered the Marche, Calabria, Veneto, Tuscany, Campania, and Puglia regions, places the broad camp at 49,7 percent with 3.783.398 votes, while the center-right stands at 46,8 percent with 3.564.232 votes. This is a real advantage, but more fragile when considered against the trajectory of recent years.

The institute emphasizes that the sample of regions called to the polls historically tends to favor the center-left, and therefore the comparison with the 2022 general election and the 2024 European elections is crucial for understanding the trend.

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In the general election, in the same regional context, the center-right had 42,7 percent and the broad camp had 51,4 percent, a gap of 8,7 points. In the European elections, the gap narrowed to 5,7, with the center-right at 45,2 and the center-left at 50,9. Today, the gap narrows further, to 2,9 points. This narrowing reveals a different dynamic than the bare data suggests: compared to the national elections, the governing coalition appears more solid and responsive than its progressive counterpart.

Even a comparison with the previous regional elections doesn't reverse the trend. Back then, the center-left polled nearly 49,9 percent versus 45,9 percent for the center-right, a picture almost identical to the current one, but still marking a small improvement for the coalition supporting Giorgia Meloni. In an overall picture marked by minimal fluctuations, reading the trends reveals a slowly shifting balance that could weigh heavily on upcoming elections.

Article published on November 26, 2025 - 13:04 AM - Vincenzo Scarpa

Comments (1)

The article talks about regional elections and the data is interesting but in my opinion it is difficult to understand whether these numbers really reflect the will of the people, especially in regions like Calabria and Puglia where there are always problems.

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